Over the first nine months of this year, inflation in Tajikistan has stood at 5.0 percent, according to the National Bank of Tajikistan (NBT).
In September, inflation reportedly stood at 0.4 percent, which is 0.4 percent less than in the previous month.
This year, the highest inflation rate was reported in January – 1.4 percent.
The lowest inflation rate this year was reported in March and May – 0.2 percent.
The year-end inflation for the past year (October 2015 through September 2016) reportedly stood at 6.4 percent
An official source at Tajik central bank says the government expects the year-end inflation for this year to stand 7.5 percent.
Recall that the year-end inflation for last year stood at 5.1 percent
Meanwhile, according to Trading Economics global macro models and analysts expectations, the year-end inflation for 2016 is expected to stand at 6.40. In the long-term, the Tajikistan inflation rate is projected to trend around 5.00 percent in 2020, according to Trading Economics econometric models.
Tajikistan inflation rate forecasts are reportedly projected using an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model calibrated using Trading Economics analysts’ expectations.
